Question 1

What affects my funded account survival probability?

Accepted Answer

Your survival probability is primarily driven by four factors: win rate (higher is better), the ratio of your average win to average loss (reward-to-risk), trades per day (more trades = more variance = faster breach or growth), and the firm's drawdown rules. Trailing drawdowns that rise with your balance are riskier than static floors because a profitable streak followed by losses can quickly close your buffer.

Question 2

How does drawdown type impact survival?

Accepted Answer

Static drawdown firms have a floor that never moves, so your buffer stays constant regardless of how much you make. Trailing (EOD or intraday) drawdown floors rise as your account balance grows, meaning a winning streak followed by a losing streak can breach the account despite being profitable overall. Intraday trailing is the strictest because the floor updates after every trade. Firms where trailing locks at initial balance offer a middle ground — the floor stops rising once you hit breakeven.

Question 3

What win rate do I need to survive 90 days funded?

Accepted Answer

It depends on your average win/loss size and the firm's drawdown rules, but as a rough guide: at 3 trades/day with a 1.5:1 reward-to-risk ratio, you typically need a 55–60% win rate to achieve 80%+ survival at 90 days on most trailing drawdown firms. Static drawdown firms are more forgiving and may allow 50–55% win rates to achieve the same survival. Use the sliders above to find your exact numbers for each firm.

Funded Phase Survival Calculator