Estimate your probability of passing a prop firm evaluation using Monte Carlo simulation. Adjust your win rate, average win/loss, and trading frequency to compare across firms.
EV, pass probability, ROI, and cost outputs are comparison estimates based on ordinary public product/help/rule evidence plus explicit scenario assumptions. Review the confidence, drivers, and blockers before using a result for ranking or scenario analysis.
Monte Carlo comparison estimate — not an empirical or guaranteed pass rate. 5,000 simulations per firm with a fixed random seed; each result shows a 95% confidence range for the simulation estimate. Firms whose ranges overlap are shown as a tied band and listed alphabetically within the tie — order inside a tie carries no ranking information.